Market wraps 1st April 2025
Morning Bell - Grady Wulff
The world’s largest market, the US, started the new trading week mostly in the green despite investors remaining nervous about ‘liberation day’ on April 2nd whereby it is expected President Donald Trump will announce an array of reciprocal tariffs on countries he believes have been tough on the US in terms of tariffs and trade in recent years. The Dow Jones rose 1%, the S&P500 added 0.55% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq ended the day down 0.14%.
In Europe overnight the sea of red extended into the new trading week across the region as investors brace for reciprocal tariffs out of the US on 2nd April. The STOXX600 fell 1.51% to post the first losing month on the index for 2025. Germany’s DAX lost 1.33%, the French CAC fell 1.58% and, in the UK, the FTSE100 ended the day down 0.88%.
Across the APAC region on Monday, markets also closed lower on Monday ahead of Trump’s second round of tariffs to be announced. Japan’s Nikkei plunged 4.05%, China’s CSI index lost 0.71%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 1.09% and South Korea’s Kospi index ended the day down 3%.
South Korea and Japan are expected to bear much of the brunt of Trump’s newly introduced 25% automotive tariff with these regions ranking 2nd and 3rd among the countries with the highest automotive trade with the US.
Locally to start the week the ASX200 plunged into the red with a 1.7% decline at the closing bell to mark the 3rd worst trading session of the year, as global market sentiment remains uneasy amid escalated tariff, trade war and subdued economic global growth concerns.
The iron ore mining giants were sold off on Monday as the outlook for exports remains murky, especially to our largest trade partner, China. BHP, Rio and Champion Iron each fell over 3%, over 4% and over 5% respectively to start the new trading week lower.
Domain shares fell almost 2% on Monday after the board unanimously recommended a takeover bid from US real estate company CoStar to shareholders. Shareholders were seemingly unimpressed which led to the sell-off yesterday.
What to watch today:
- Ahead of Tuesday’s trading session the ASX, the SPI futures are anticipating the market will open the day up 0.85% tracking Wall Street’s gains overnight.
- The all-important RBA interest rate meeting is today with the market expecting Australia’s central bank to hold the current cash rate at 4.1% for the next period.
- On the commodities front this morning, oil is trading 2.85% higher at US$71.34/barrel, gold is 1.3% higher at US$3124/ounce and iron ore is up 0.07% at US$102.43/tonne.
- The Aussie dollar has weakened against the greenback overnight to buy US$0.62, 93.67 Japanese Yen, 48.22 British Pence and NZ$1.10.
Trading Ideas:
- Bell Potter has slightly reduced the 12-month price target on Light & Wonder (ASX:LNW) from $205 to $197 and maintain a buy rating on the leading global cross-platform games operator after Aristocrat Leisure escalated its legal fight against Light and Wonder with a second amended complaint around LNW’s Jewel of the Dragon game.
- And Trading Central has identified a bearish signal on Cochlear (ASX:COH) following the formation of a pattern over a period of 23-days which is roughly the same amount of time the share price may fall from the close of $262.30 to the range of $246 to $250 according to standard principles of technical analysis.